Luca Castelnuovo vs Yuquan Jin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance affect match outcome predictions? Castelnuovo has a slight edge over Jin, winning 46.12% of second serve points compared to Jin's 45.99% in the last six months.
• Who has shown better return stats recently? Jin surpasses Castelnuovo by winning 44.04% of points on opponents' second serves, compared to Castelnuovo's 42.86%.
• Analyzing first serve returns, Jin again leads with 21.6% compared to Castelnuovo's 19.42%.
• Under pressure, both players have similar breakpoint saving abilities, with Castelnuovo at 54.72% and Jin at 54.48%.
• Examining performance over the last year, Castelnuovo has a superior win rate at 64.79% compared to Jin's 43.75%.
• Which surfaces suit each player best? Castelnuovo excels on Indoor Hard with a 58% win rate, while Jin shines on Clay with a 61% win rate.
• In terms of tour level, Castelnuovo has a better record in Futures/ITF events, winning 67.74% of matches versus Jin’s 43.75%.
• Direct head-to-head results favor Castelnuovo, who won their only previous match in straight sets against Jin.
• Average match duration between the two players is 1:27:25, indicating competitive play.
• In deciding set scenarios in the past year, Castelnuovo appears more reliable, winning 47% compared to Jin's 25%.
• Opponent quality varies, with Castelnuovo facing players ranked on average 428.65, whereas Jin's opponents have been slightly stronger with an average rank of 370.73.
• Jin outperforms Castelnuovo in break point conversion recently, turning 32.05% of chances into breaks compared to Castelnuovo's 22.66%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

When examining recent second serve performances, Castelnuovo displays a marginally better record, which could slightly influence predicted outcomes. Additionally, Jin's superior return game provides an edge, though this is counterbalanced by Castelnuovo's more consistent match win rate over the past year.

Surface preference highlights an interesting contrast; Castelnuovo's wins predominantly come on Indoor Hard, while Jin thrives on Clay. However, their previous encounter on this surface resulted in a decisive win for Castelnuovo.

Break point conversion is an area where Jin outstrips Castelnuovo significantly, a factor to consider in closely contested points during live matches. However, when the match extends to deciding sets, Castelnuovo's higher win percentage could prove advantageous.

Despite Jin's stronger record against higher-ranked opponents and a knack for converting break points, Castelnuovo's overall match performance, head-to-head history, and proficiency in deciding sets suggest they hold the upper hand. Therefore, based on these facts, Castelnuovo is the more likely victor in this encounter.